Public Policy Polling was tracking the NY-23 race right after the 3-way debate and found that Hoffman was crushing both opponents by 20+ points.
This was before Dede released her supporters, which at that point was down to 17% of voters.
Some folks have been hemming and hawing about where Dede's supporters might go. Fact is, even if they all went to vote for a liberal Pelosi democrat (seriously think even 50% might do that? are you kidding me?) Hoffman would win.
From the pollster Tom Jensen:
I'm not going to throw away the first set of interviews, but we'll provide a crosstab for when people got surveyed. I expect Hoffman will win easily now, but if our early numbers were any indication what Scozzafava did doesn't make much difference- he was going to win easily with or without her in the race.
If you are in NY now we have local elections Tuesday too. If you don't have a campaign close to home that needs your help, and are looking for a race where your efforts can really make a difference, head to New Jersey and go get out the vote for Chris Christie!


1 comments:
Thanks for this post; seems like you broke it first.
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