Saturday, January 19, 2008

Nevada Numbers


A fellow pro-Mitt blogger just passed along some Nevada-specific data:

Wolf Blitzer just said 25% of Republican Caucus goers were Mormon.

94% of those voted for Romney.

Romnery beat Huckabee by a slim margin among Evangelicals.


That’s (25%) a overrepresentation of the LDS population. LDS people consist of somewhere between 8-12% of the Nevada population. Boy, do they like Mitt!

I’ve heard in the recent past about 90% of LDS folks vote Republican. They're generally conservative. Mitt may have just bumped up the Mormon Republican-ness 4%.

Having Mormons come out in droves in Nevada is a plus for Republicans next fall--not a minus. That is, we can win Nevada--a historically blue state. Clinton won in 1992.

And, boy, it’s nice to beat Huck among evangelicals. If Mitt garnered 94% of the LDS vote yet lost the evangelical vote (badly), this victory wouldn’t suggest such wide support.

Update: see the Nevada results by county

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