Friday, April 20, 2018

The trans-Pacific quarrel strikes at the heart of Trump’s rural support in farm states, which host some of this year’s toughest Senate races in North Dakota, Missouri and Indiana, and competitive House races in Nebraska, Kansas, Iowa and Minnesota.

About one-fifth of the more than 100 Republican-held House districts targeted by Democrats are in the top 10 U.S. soybean-producing states, making the prospect of a trade war a point of contention in rural areas where Democrats have had difficulty gaining traction.

“Trump is asking farmers to endure an awful lot with this verbal trade escalation with China,” said Republican Craig Robinson, a former Republican party official in Iowa. If a trade war breaks out, he said, even farmers who backed Trump will vote for whichever party they think has their back.

“If that’s the Democratic Party, they won’t have to think too hard about it,” he said.

Some farmers are already losing patience.

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